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2024-12-14 12:37:16

At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures fell more and rose less. The European line of container transportation rose by over 5%, while alumina, SC crude oil and Shanghai nickel rose by over 1%. In terms of decline, coke, No.20 glue and caustic soda fell by more than 2%, while glass, coking coal, Shanghai Bank, hot coil, rubber and BR rubber fell by more than 1%."Black Myth: Wukong" won the TGA2024 Player's Voice Award.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.


Five bodies were found in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in Guanajuato, Mexico. On December 12, local time, the Public Security Office of Salvatierra, Guanajuato, a central Mexican province, said that the police found five bodies in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in this area. It is reported that five bodies were packed in plastic bags and discarded in a pickup truck. The Office of the Attorney General of Guanajuato will investigate the case.The institutional deposits of Ping An Bank exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the beginning of this year, Ping An Bank successfully won the bid for the qualification of central treasury centralized payment agent bank. Interface journalists learned from the recent Digital Intelligence Government Conference held by the bank that up to now, Ping An Bank has more than 1,000 core government qualifications and institutional deposits have exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the conference, the bank officially released the "Safe and Intelligent Government Affairs" platform, and signed general-to-general partnership agreements with the first batch of 10 institutional business partners, including Booz Software, Shenyue Software and Guangdong Bankruptcy Administrators Association.Sumeida: Its mechanical and electrical company won two standby power supply projects in succession. According to Sumeida, in the fourth quarter of 2024, Sumeida went all out to sprint the annual target task. Its mechanical and electrical company continued to deepen the domestic and international markets and won two standby power supply projects in succession, namely, the first-phase mechanical and electrical equipment room supporting project of China Mobile Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (Shaoguan) data center and the standby power supply project with an annual output of 100,000 tons of high-purity silicon-based materials in the Middle East.


The United States International Trade Commission made the final ruling on the third double-reverse sunset review of raw rubber magnetism, China Trade Relief Information Network, December 12, The United States International Trade Commission (ITC) voted to make the affirmative final ruling on the third anti-dumping sunset review of Raw Flexible Magnets imported from Chinese mainland and Taiwan Province, and the affirmative final ruling on the third countervailing sunset review of raw rubber magnets imported from Chinese mainland: it ruled that if the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures are abolished, the substantial damage caused by the import of the products involved may continue or recur in the reasonably foreseeable period. According to the final ruling, the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures in this case continue to be effective.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The United Nations estimates that more than 1.1 million Syrian civilians have been displaced. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said on the 12th that more than 1.1 million Syrian civilians have been displaced since the latest escalation of the situation in Syria. (Xinhua News Agency)

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